The Data-Driven Investor

The Data-Driven Investor

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The Data-Driven Investor
The Data-Driven Investor
A 40 Trading Day Model for the S&P 500

A 40 Trading Day Model for the S&P 500

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The Data-Driven Investor
Jul 20, 2025
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The Data-Driven Investor
The Data-Driven Investor
A 40 Trading Day Model for the S&P 500
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I ran my largest dataset ($SPY) through a random forest machine learning model to identify which metrics, and metric combinations could best be used to predict SPY 0.00%↑ price in XX number of days. I used the same model to determine the optimal number of days such useful metrics could predict. It landed on 40 days as the optimal prediction period using a 5-perio…

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